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Survey of Electors on Communications with Electors

Introduction

Phoenix Strategic Perspectives Inc. (Phoenix) was commissioned by Elections Canada to conduct a survey of electors on communications practices towards Canadian electors.

Background and Objectives

Elections Canada is an independent, non-partisan agency that reports directly to Parliament. The Agency is mandated to conduct federal general elections, by-elections and referendums, administer the political financing provisions of the Canada Elections Act (CEA), monitor compliance, and enforce electoral legislation.

During and after the 41st federal general election, Elections Canada received numerous complaints about automated telephone calls and live calls. The complaints alleged that callers falsely claiming to be from Elections Canada reported changes to polling places, when in fact there were no such changes, or that electors felt harassed by calls falsely purporting to be from a particular candidate or party, either because of the time or recurrence of the calls, or because of their tone. This issue has garnered considerable media attention.

At an appearance before a parliamentary committee last March, the Chief Electoral Officer committed to table a report on the allegations of wrongdoing before the end of March 2013.

The Agency decided to take this opportunity to address a wide range of issues dealing with communications with electors in the context of federal elections. The objective of the survey was to assess electors' opinions and attitudes on various issues related to communications with electors. More specifically, surveyed electors were consulted on the following issues:

The results obtained from this survey will increase the Agency's knowledge about the opinions and attitudes of Canadians on communication practices with electors. Additionally, the findings will be used to assist in the production of the Chief Electoral Officer's report on the complaints about automated telephone calls and live calls during and after the 41st federal general election.

Research Design

A random digit dial (RDD) telephone survey was conducted with 1,011 eligible electors from among the general population. Eligible electors are Canadian citizens, at least 18 years of age at the time of the survey. Based on a sample of this size, the overall results are accurate to within ±3.4%, 19 times out of 20 (adjusted for sample stratification). The margin of error is greater for results pertaining to subgroups of the total sample.

The following specifications applied to the survey:


Area Target Number
of Interviews
Actual Number
of Interviews
Atlantic Provinces 150 150
Quebec 200 203
Ontario 250 252
Prairies 250 253
British Columbia 150 153
Canada 1,000 1,011

The following table presents information about the final call dispositions for this survey, as well as calculation of the response rate (using MRIA's Empirical formula):

Final Call Disposition Table
Total Sample Landline Sample Cell Sample
Total Numbers Attempted 25,036 13,823 11,213
Out-of-scope - Invalid 8,075 3,568 4,507
Unresolved (U) 11,485 6,003 5,482
No answer/Answering machine 11,485 6,003 5,482
In-scope - Non-responding (IS) 642 550 92
Language barrier 170 129 41
Incapable of completing (ill/deceased) 108 97 11
Callback (Respondent not available) 364 324 40
Refusal 3,663 2,771 892
Termination 65 58 7
In-scope - Responding units (R) 1,106 873 233
Completed Interview 1,011 810 201
NQ - Quota Full - Gender 59 50 9
NQ - Age 23 0 23
NQ - Not a Citizen 13 13 0
Refusal Rate 77.12 76.42 79.42
Response Rate 6.52 8.51 3.47

The MRIA response rate formula is as follows: [R=R/(U+IS+R)]. This means that the response rate is calculated as the number of responding units [R] divided by the number of unresolved [U] numbers plus in-scope [IS] non-responding households and individuals plus responding units [R].

Note to Readers