The Burden of Voting in the 2019 Canadian Federal Election
Appendix C
Registration | Decision | Going to Polling Station | Casting a Ballot | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age | 18-24 | .313 | 1.24 | .596 | .497 |
25-34 | .131 | 1.10 | .498 | .400 | |
35-44 | .071 | .973 | .394 | .353 | |
45-54 | .061 | .896 | .346 | .320 | |
55-64 | .037 | .851 | .274 | .266 | |
65+ | .021 | .790 | .234 | .213 | |
Gender | Female | .079 | 1.08 | .380 | .330 |
Male | .081 | .812 | .341 | .310 | |
Race | White | .068 | .939 | .339 | .293 |
Racial minority | .138 | .958 | .459 | .433 | |
Language | English/French | .080 | .941 | .363 | .319 |
Other | .146 | .981 | .381 | .385 | |
Country of Origin | Canada | .078 | .954 | .366 | .319 |
Abroad | .109 | .888 | .358 | .339 | |
Region | Atlantic | .102 | .971 | .362 | .306 |
Quebec | .068 | 1.07 | .402 | .388 | |
Ontario | .085 | .916 | .356 | .302 | |
Prairies | .093 | .814 | .334 | .286 | |
BC | .080 | .974 | .370 | .332 | |
Territories | .090 | .939 | .352 | .264 | |
Education | Low | .157 | .979 | .468 | .426 |
Middle | .084 | .953 | .375 | .330 | |
High | .054 | .922 | .315 | .277 | |
Income | Low | .173 | 1.08 | .572 | .439 |
Middle | .078 | .956 | .366 | .331 | |
High | .046 | .835 | .268 | .251 | |
Employment | Employed | .080 | .946 | .361 | .327 |
Unemployment | .204 | 1.06 | .523 | .446 | |
Student | .248 | 1.21 | .564 | .461 | |
Retired | .025 | .832 | .257 | .231 | |
Caregiver | .121 | 1.04 | .471 | .404 | |
Other | .142 | 1.07 | .578 | .402 | |
Marital Status | Married | .055 | .884 | .311 | .292 |
Not Married | .124 | 1.03 | .445 | .368 | |
Mobility | Moved | .178 | 1.09 | .534 | .412 |
Not Moved | .063 | .917 | .329 | .300 |
(1)Registration | (2)Decision | (3)Going to Polling Station | (4)Casting a Ballot | |
---|---|---|---|---|
18-24 | 0.191*** | 0.284*** | 0.134*** | 0.109*** |
(0.007) | (0.021) | (0.013) | (0.012) | |
25-34 | 0.053*** | 0.173*** | 0.109*** | 0.062*** |
(0.005) | (0.015) | (0.010) | (0.009) | |
35-44 | 0.008 | 0.066*** | 0.039*** | 0.029*** |
(0.005) | (0.014) | (0.009) | (0.008) | |
55-64 | -0.022*** | -0.053*** | -0.076*** | -0.045*** |
(0.005) | (0.015) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
65+ | -0.037*** | -0.116*** | -0.123*** | -0.093*** |
(0.006) | (0.019) | (0.012) | (0.011) | |
Female | -0.007* | 0.253*** | 0.012* | 0.006 |
(0.003) | (0.009) | (0.006) | (0.005) | |
Racial Minority | 0.025*** | -0.021 | 0.075*** | 0.105*** |
(0.004) | (0.012) | (0.007) | (0.007) | |
Other Language | 0.013 | 0.055* | -0.023 | 0.006 |
(0.009) | (0.026) | (0.017) | (0.016) | |
Foreign Born | 0.037*** | -0.035** | 0.003 | 0.007 |
(0.005) | (0.013) | (0.009) | (0.008) | |
Prairies | 0.009* | -0.101*** | -0.017* | -0.014* |
(0.004) | (0.013) | (0.008) | (0.007) | |
BC | 0.000 | 0.065*** | 0.020* | 0.036*** |
(0.005) | (0.014) | (0.009) | (0.008) | |
Atlantic | 0.025*** | 0.026 | 0.001 | 0.011 |
(0.006) | (0.019) | (0.012) | (0.011) | |
Territories | 0.004 | 0.043 | -0.003 | -0.051 |
(0.019) | (0.056) | (0.035) | (0.033) | |
Quebec | -0.024*** | 0.133*** | 0.029*** | 0.076*** |
(0.004) | (0.012) | (0.007) | (0.007) | |
Low Education | 0.046*** | -0.006 | 0.056*** | 0.069*** |
(0.005) | (0.014) | (0.009) | (0.008) | |
High Education | -0.016*** | -0.007 | -0.034*** | -0.039*** |
(0.003) | (0.010) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Low Income | 0.048*** | 0.047** | 0.136*** | 0.060*** |
(0.005) | (0.015) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
High Income | -0.012*** | -0.068*** | -0.056*** | -0.048*** |
(0.004) | (0.011) | (0.007) | (0.006) | |
Unemployed | 0.051*** | 0.058* | 0.047** | 0.018 |
(0.009) | (0.025) | (0.016) | (0.015) | |
Student | 0.012 | -0.012 | 0.001 | -0.011 |
(0.009) | (0.028) | (0.018) | (0.016) | |
Retired | -0.002 | 0.021 | 0.019 | -0.007 |
(0.005) | (0.016) | (0.010) | (0.009) | |
Caregiver | 0.025** | -0.027 | 0.057*** | 0.037* |
(0.009) | (0.027) | (0.017) | (0.016) | |
Not Married | 0.001 | 0.025* | 0.023*** | 0.002 |
(0.003) | (0.010) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Moved | 0.056*** | 0.058*** | 0.107*** | 0.042*** |
(0.004) | (0.013) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
Constant | 0.041*** | 0.763*** | 0.299*** | 0.274*** |
(0.005) | (0.015) | (0.010) | (0.009) | |
Observations | 41836 | 41578 | 41893 | 41856 |
R2 | 0.067 | 0.053 | 0.061 | 0.042 |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Registration | Decision | Going to Polling Station | Casting a Ballot | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Indigenous N = 3,172 |
.135 | .949 | .510 | .440 |
Indigenous on reserve N = 316 |
.200 | .832 | .779 | .648 |
Indigenous off reserve N = 2,855 |
.128 | .962 | .480 | .417 |
Other N = 46,806 |
.079 | .943 | .355 | .315 |
Registration | Decision | Going to Polling Station | Casting a Ballot | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Disability N = 16, 139 |
.120 | 1.05 | .500 | .412 |
Moderate disability N = 12, 057 |
.103 | 1.03 | .428 | .373 |
Severe disability N = 4, 082 |
.172 | 1.11 | .718 | .532 |
No disability N = 33, 846 |
.065 | .890 | .300 | .280 |
Registration | Decision | Going to Polling Station | Casting a Ballot | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Never voted before N = 4,225 |
.443 | 1.29 | .712 | .612 |
Became a Canadian citizen after 2015 N = 103 |
.166 | .989 | .495 | .460 |
First-time electors (aged 18–21) N = 1,397 |
.272 | 1.14 | .535 | .432 |
Abstainer N = 2,725 |
.551 | 1.39 | .818 | .722 |
Voted before N = 45,488 |
.050 | .911 | .332 | .296 |
Registration | Decision | Going to Polling Station | Casting a Ballot | |
---|---|---|---|---|
NEET N = 1,125 | .308 | 1.21 | .613 | .539 |
Not NEET N = 48,337 |
.077 | .937 | .357 | .316 |
Registration | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18-24 | 0.193*** | 0.193*** | 0.191*** | 0.192*** | 0.056*** | 0.116*** | 0.186*** |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.007) | |
25-34 | 0.054*** | 0.054*** | 0.055*** | 0.055*** | 0.042*** | 0.040*** | 0.049*** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | |
35-44 | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.010* | 0.001 | -0.001 | 0.008 |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | |
55-64 | - | - | - | - | -0.016** | -0.015** | - |
-0.023*** | -0.023*** | -0.021*** | -0.021*** | - | - | -0.022*** | |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | |
65+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.038*** | -0.038*** | -0.037*** | -0.035*** | -0.027*** | -0.025*** | -0.037*** | |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Female | -0.008* | -0.008* | -0.009** | -0.009** | -0.008* | -0.008** | -0.007* |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | |
Racial Minority | - | - | 0.024*** | 0.024*** | 0.013*** | 0.013*** | 0.025*** |
- | - | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | |
Foreign Born | 0.047*** | 0.047*** | 0.039*** | 0.039*** | 0.019*** | 0.017*** | 0.037*** |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | |
Prairies | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.009* | 0.009* | 0.011** | 0.011** | 0.009* |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | |
BC | -0.000 | -0.000 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.000 |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | |
Atlantic | 0.024*** | 0.024*** | 0.026*** | 0.026*** | 0.026*** | 0.025*** | 0.025*** |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Territories | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.004 |
(0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.018) | (0.019) | |
Quebec | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.024*** | -0.024*** | -0.021*** | -0.021*** | -0.021*** | -0.020*** | -0.024*** | |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | |
Low Education | 0.046*** | 0.046*** | 0.044*** | 0.044*** | 0.026*** | 0.024*** | 0.045*** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.004) | (0.005) | |
High Education | - | - | - | - | -0.006 | -0.009** | - |
-0.015*** | -0.015*** | -0.014*** | -0.013*** | - | - | -0.016*** | |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | |
Low Income | 0.049*** | 0.049*** | 0.044*** | 0.042*** | 0.047*** | 0.040*** | 0.049*** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | |
High Income | - | - | -0.010** | -0.009* | - | -0.008* | - |
-0.013*** | -0.013*** | - | - | -0.012*** | - | -0.013*** | |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | |
Unemployed | 0.052*** | 0.052*** | 0.048*** | 0.047*** | 0.041*** | 0.038*** | 0.032** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.010) | |
Student | 0.013 | 0.013 | 0.012 | 0.013 | -0.007 | 0.012 | 0.015 |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
Retired | -0.003 | -0.003 | -0.004 | -0.005 | -0.004 | -0.004 | -0.003 |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | |
Caregiver | 0.025** | 0.025** | 0.024* | 0.022* | 0.018* | 0.015 | 0.010 |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.010) | |
Other | 0.040*** | 0.040*** | 0.032*** | 0.025** | 0.040*** | 0.040*** | 0.040*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.008) | (0.009) | |
Not Married | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.001 | -0.001 | 0.002 | 0.002 |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | |
Moved | 0.056*** | 0.056*** | 0.055*** | 0.055*** | 0.055*** | 0.051*** | 0.056*** |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.004) | |
Indigenous | 0.023*** | - | - | - | - | - | - |
(0.006) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Indigenous on reserve | - | 0.032 | - | - | - | - | - |
- | (0.020) | - | - | - | - | - | |
Indigenous off reserve | - | 0.023*** | - | - | - | - | - |
- | (0.007) | - | - | - | - | - | |
Disability | - | - | 0.026*** | - | - | - | - |
- | - | (0.003) | - | - | - | - | |
Moderate Disability | - | - | 0.020*** | - | - | - | |
- | - | - | (0.004) | - | - | - | |
Severe Disability | - | - | 0.050*** | - | - | - | |
- | - | - | (0.006) | - | - | - | |
Never voted before | - | - | - | 0.302*** | - | - | |
- | - | - | - | (0.007) | - | - | |
New Canadians | - | - | - | - | 0.051 | - | |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.033) | - | |
First-time electors (aged 18–21) | - | - | - | - | 0.063*** | - | |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.012) | - | |
Abstainer | - | - | - | - | 0.391*** | - | |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.007) | - | |
NEET | - | - | - | - | - | 0.053*** | |
- | - | - | - | - | - | (0.014) | |
Constant | 0.044*** | 0.044*** | 0.032*** | 0.032*** | 0.035*** | 0.033*** | 0.042*** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | |
Observations | 41836 | 41835 | 41832 | 41832 | 41691 | 41691 | 41836 |
R2 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.069 | 0.069 | 0.111 | 0.127 | 0.068 |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Note: Reference categories are the following: Age: 45–54; Gender: Male; Racial Minority: White; Other Language: English/French; Foreign Born: Born in Canada; Regions: Ontario; Education: Medium Education; Income: Medium; Employment: Employed; Not Married: Married; Moved: Not Moved; Indigenous: Not Indigenous; Indigenous on reserve, Indigenous off reserve: Others; Disability: No Disability; Moderate Disability, Severe Disability: No Disability; Never voted before: Everyone Else; New Canadians, First-time electors (aged 18–21), Abstainer: Everyone Else; NEET: Everyone Else.
Decision | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18-24 | 0.282*** | 0.283*** | 0.285*** | 0.286*** | 0.169*** | 0.234*** | 0.285*** |
(0.021) | (0.021) | (0.021) | (0.021) | (0.023) | (0.024) | (0.021) | |
25-34 | 0.173*** | 0.174*** | 0.180*** | 0.181*** | 0.164*** | 0.161*** | 0.174*** |
(0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.016) | |
35-44 | 0.065*** | 0.066*** | 0.072*** | 0.072*** | 0.058*** | 0.057*** | 0.066*** |
(0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | |
55-64 | -0.052*** | -0.052*** | -0.051*** | -0.050*** | -0.048** | -0.047** | -0.053*** |
(0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | |
65+ | -0.115*** | -0.115*** | -0.117*** | -0.115*** | -0.109*** | -0.107*** | -0.116*** |
(0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | |
Female | 0.253*** | 0.253*** | 0.246*** | 0.246*** | 0.252*** | 0.252*** | 0.253*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
Racial Minority | - | - | -0.026* | -0.027* | -0.031** | -0.031** | -0.021 |
- | - | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | |
Other Language | 0.050 | 0.051 | 0.055* | 0.056* | 0.046 | 0.044 | 0.055* |
(0.026) | (0.026) | (0.026) | (0.026) | (0.027) | (0.027) | (0.026) | |
Foreign Born | - | - | -0.026 | -0.025 | - | - | -0.035** |
-0.043*** | -0.044*** | - | - | -0.052*** | -0.055*** | - | |
(0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.013) | |
Prairies | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.100*** | -0.101*** | -0.101*** | -0.101*** | -0.101*** | -0.101*** | -0.101*** | |
(0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | |
BC | 0.066*** | 0.065*** | 0.067*** | 0.068*** | 0.065*** | 0.064*** | 0.065*** |
(0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | |
Atlantic | 0.028 | 0.026 | 0.027 | 0.028 | 0.027 | 0.026 | 0.026 |
(0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | (0.019) | |
Territories | 0.046 | 0.045 | 0.043 | 0.044 | 0.046 | 0.045 | 0.043 |
(0.056) | (0.056) | (0.056) | (0.056) | (0.056) | (0.056) | (0.056) | |
Quebec | 0.133*** | 0.132*** | 0.147*** | 0.147*** | 0.135*** | 0.135*** | 0.133*** |
(0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | |
Low Education | -0.006 | -0.006 | -0.013 | -0.013 | -0.023 | -0.025 | -0.006 |
(0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | (0.014) | |
High Education | -0.008 | -0.008 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.001 | -0.003 | -0.007 |
(0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | |
Low Income | 0.048** | 0.048** | 0.024 | 0.021 | 0.049** | 0.041** | 0.047** |
(0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | |
High Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.067*** | -0.068*** | -0.055*** | -0.055*** | -0.068*** | -0.063*** | -0.068*** | |
(0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | |
Unemployed | 0.058* | 0.057* | 0.044 | 0.043 | 0.049 | 0.046 | 0.060* |
(0.025) | (0.025) | (0.025) | (0.025) | (0.025) | (0.025) | (0.029) | |
Student | -0.013 | -0.013 | -0.010 | -0.010 | -0.028 | -0.006 | -0.012 |
(0.028) | (0.028) | (0.028) | (0.028) | (0.028) | (0.028) | (0.028) | |
Retired | 0.021 | 0.021 | 0.011 | 0.009 | 0.018 | 0.019 | 0.021 |
(0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | |
Caregiver | -0.026 | -0.026 | -0.036 | -0.038 | -0.036 | -0.039 | -0.025 |
(0.027) | (0.027) | (0.027) | (0.027) | (0.027) | (0.027) | (0.030) | |
Other | 0.053* | 0.052* | 0.010 | -0.001 | 0.055* | 0.055* | 0.052* |
(0.026) | (0.026) | (0.026) | (0.026) | (0.026) | (0.026) | (0.026) | |
Not Married | 0.024* | 0.023* | 0.021* | 0.021* | 0.021* | 0.024* | 0.024* |
(0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | |
Moved | 0.058*** | 0.059*** | 0.055*** | 0.054*** | 0.057*** | 0.052*** | 0.058*** |
(0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | |
Indigenous | -0.030 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
(0.019) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Indigenous on reserve | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
- | -0.198*** | - | - | - | - | - | |
- | (0.058) | - | - | - | - | - | |
Indigenous off reserve | - | -0.012 | - | - | - | - | - |
- | (0.020) | - | - | - | - | - | |
Disability | - | - | 0.133*** | - | - | - | - |
- | - | (0.010) | - | - | - | - | |
Moderate Disability | - | - | - | 0.124*** | - | - | - |
- | - | - | (0.011) | - | - | - | |
Severe Disability | - | - | - | 0.166*** | - | - | - |
- | - | - | (0.018) | - | - | - | |
Never voted before | - | - | - | - | 0.257*** | - | - |
- | - | - | - | (0.020) | - | - | |
New Canadians | - | - | - | - | - | 0.102 | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.100) | - | |
First-time electors (aged 18–21) | - | - | - | - | - | -0.006 | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.035) | - | |
Abstainer | - | - | - | - | - | 0.348*** | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.022) | - | |
NEET | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.005 |
- | - | - | - | - | - | (0.040) | |
Constant | 0.761*** | 0.761*** | 0.717*** | 0.717*** | 0.759*** | 0.758*** | 0.763*** |
(0.015) | (0.015) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | |
Observations | 41578 | 41577 | 41574 | 41574 | 41452 | 41452 | 41578 |
R2 | 0.053 | 0.053 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.056 | 0.058 | 0.053 |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Note: Reference categories are the following: Age: 45–54; Gender: Male; Racial Minority: White; Other Language: English/French; Foreign Born: Born in Canada; Regions: Ontario; Education: Medium Education; Income: Medium; Employment: Employed; Not Married: Married; Moved: Not Moved; Indigenous: Not Indigenous; Indigenous on reserve, Indigenous off reserve: Others; Disability: No Disability; Moderate Disability, Severe Disability: No Disability; Never voted before: Everyone Else; New Canadians, First-time electors (aged 18–21), Abstainer: Everyone Else; NEET: Everyone Else.
Polling Station | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18-24 | 0.142*** | 0.140*** | 0.135*** | 0.139*** | 0.013 | 0.072*** | 0.137*** |
(0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.013) | (0.014) | (0.015) | (0.014) | |
25-34 | 0.111*** | 0.109*** | 0.116*** | 0.120*** | 0.100*** | 0.097*** | 0.111*** |
(0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | |
35-44 | 0.040*** | 0.039*** | 0.046*** | 0.048*** | 0.032*** | 0.030*** | 0.039*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
55-64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.078*** | -0.079*** | -0.074*** | -0.071*** | -0.070*** | -0.069*** | -0.076*** | |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
65+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.127*** | -0.127*** | -0.123*** | -0.114*** | -0.114*** | -0.112*** | -0.123*** | |
(0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | |
Female | 0.011* | 0.012* | 0.004 | 0.003 | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.012* |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Racial Minority | - | - | 0.069*** | 0.064*** | 0.065*** | 0.065*** | 0.075*** |
- | - | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | |
Other Language | -0.008 | -0.009 | -0.022 | -0.021 | -0.032 | -0.034* | -0.023 |
(0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | |
Foreign Born | 0.032*** | 0.033*** | 0.013 | 0.016 | -0.015 | -0.017* | 0.003 |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
Prairies | -0.021** | -0.019* | -0.016* | -0.014 | -0.016* | -0.016* | -0.017* |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
BC | 0.018* | 0.018* | 0.022* | 0.026** | 0.020* | 0.019* | 0.020* |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
Atlantic | -0.004 | -0.003 | 0.003 | 0.005 | -0.001 | -0.002 | 0.001 |
(0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | |
Territories | -0.014 | -0.012 | -0.001 | -0.000 | 0.003 | 0.002 | -0.002 |
(0.035) | (0.035) | (0.035) | (0.035) | (0.035) | (0.035) | (0.035) | |
Quebec | 0.028*** | 0.029*** | 0.044*** | 0.049*** | 0.031*** | 0.031*** | 0.029*** |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | |
Low Education | 0.057*** | 0.056*** | 0.048*** | 0.045*** | 0.038*** | 0.036*** | 0.056*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
High Education | - | - | -0.020** | -0.017** | - | - | - |
-0.031*** | -0.032*** | - | - | -0.024*** | -0.027*** | -0.034*** | |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Low Income | 0.135*** | 0.135*** | 0.109*** | 0.095*** | 0.136*** | 0.129*** | 0.136*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
High Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.058*** | -0.057*** | -0.041*** | -0.039*** | -0.056*** | -0.052*** | -0.056*** | |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | |
Unemployed | 0.049** | 0.049** | 0.031 | 0.025 | 0.032* | 0.030 | 0.055** |
(0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.018) | |
Student | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.003 | 0.006 | -0.016 | 0.003 | -0.000 |
(0.018) | (0.018) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.018) | |
Retired | 0.018 | 0.018 | 0.007 | -0.001 | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.019 |
(0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | |
Caregiver | 0.055** | 0.054** | 0.046** | 0.035* | 0.047** | 0.044* | 0.063*** |
(0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.017) | (0.019) | |
Other | 0.150*** | 0.151*** | 0.102*** | 0.047** | 0.152*** | 0.152*** | 0.152*** |
(0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | |
Not Married | 0.024*** | 0.025*** | 0.019** | 0.019** | 0.020** | 0.023*** | 0.023*** |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Moved | 0.106*** | 0.106*** | 0.103*** | 0.100*** | 0.107*** | 0.103*** | 0.107*** |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
Indigenous | 0.099*** | - | - | - | - | - | - |
(0.012) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Indigenous on reserve | - | 0.278*** | - | - | - | - | - |
- | (0.036) | - | - | - | - | - | |
Indigenous off reserve | - | 0.080*** | - | - | - | - | - |
- | (0.012) | - | - | - | - | - | |
Disability | - | - | 0.155*** | - | - | - | - |
- | - | (0.006) | - | - | - | - | |
Moderate Disability | - | - | - | 0.112*** | - | - | - |
- | - | - | (0.007) | - | - | - | |
Severe Disability | - | - | - | 0.325*** | - | - | - |
- | - | - | (0.011) | - | - | - | |
Never voted before | - | - | - | - | 0.273*** | - | - |
- | - | - | - | (0.013) | - | - | |
New Canadians | - | - | - | - | - | 0.125* | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.062) | - | |
First-time electors (aged 18–21) | - | - | - | - | - | 0.038 | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.022) | - | |
Abstainer | - | - | - | - | - | 0.355*** | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.014) | - | |
NEET | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.023 |
- | - | - | - | - | - | (0.025) | |
Constant | 0.304*** | 0.304*** | 0.246*** | 0.244*** | 0.294*** | 0.293*** | 0.298*** |
(0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.010) | |
Observations | 41893 | 41892 | 41889 | 41889 | 41750 | 41750 | 41893 |
R2 | 0.061 | 0.061 | 0.075 | 0.082 | 0.072 | 0.076 | 0.061 |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Note: Reference categories are the following: Age: 45–54; Gender: Male; Racial Minority: White; Other Language: English/French; Foreign Born: Born in Canada; Regions: Ontario; Education: Medium Education; Income: Medium; Employment: Employed; Not Married: Married; Moved: Not Moved; Indigenous: Not Indigenous; Indigenous on reserve, Indigenous off reserve: Others; Disability: No Disability; Moderate Disability, Severe Disability: No Disability; Never voted before: Everyone Else; New Canadians, First-time electors (aged 18–21), Abstainer: Everyone Else; NEET: Everyone Else.
Casting ballot | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18-24 | 0.118*** | 0.117*** | 0.109*** | 0.111*** | 0.008 | 0.066*** | 0.104*** |
(0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.013) | (0.014) | (0.013) | |
25-34 | 0.064*** | 0.063*** | 0.067*** | 0.069*** | 0.054*** | 0.051*** | 0.058*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
35-44 | 0.031*** | 0.031*** | 0.035*** | 0.035*** | 0.025** | 0.023** | 0.029*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
55-64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.049*** | -0.049*** | -0.044*** | -0.042*** | -0.040*** | -0.039*** | -0.045*** | |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
65+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.101*** | -0.101*** | -0.094*** | -0.089*** | -0.086*** | -0.084*** | -0.094*** | |
(0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | |
Female | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.000 | -0.000 | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.006 |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | |
Racial Minority | - | - | 0.101*** | 0.098*** | 0.096*** | 0.096*** | 0.105*** |
- | - | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | |
Other Language | 0.027 | 0.027 | 0.006 | 0.007 | -0.001 | -0.003 | 0.005 |
(0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | |
Foreign Born | 0.045*** | 0.045*** | 0.014 | 0.016* | -0.008 | -0.010 | 0.007 |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
Prairies | -0.017* | -0.016* | -0.014 | -0.013 | -0.014 | -0.014 | -0.015* |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | |
BC | 0.035*** | 0.035*** | 0.038*** | 0.040*** | 0.036*** | 0.035*** | 0.037*** |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
Atlantic | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.012 | 0.013 | 0.009 | 0.008 | 0.011 |
(0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.011) | |
Territories | -0.059 | -0.058 | -0.050 | -0.050 | -0.048 | -0.049 | -0.051 |
(0.033) | (0.033) | (0.033) | (0.033) | (0.033) | (0.033) | (0.033) | |
Quebec | 0.074*** | 0.074*** | 0.087*** | 0.089*** | 0.078*** | 0.078*** | 0.076*** |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.007) | |
Low Education | 0.072*** | 0.071*** | 0.064*** | 0.062*** | 0.053*** | 0.051*** | 0.069*** |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
High Education | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.036*** | -0.037*** | -0.029*** | -0.028*** | -0.031*** | -0.035*** | -0.039*** | |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Low Income | 0.061*** | 0.061*** | 0.041*** | 0.034*** | 0.060*** | 0.054*** | 0.060*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
High Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
-0.051*** | -0.051*** | -0.037*** | -0.036*** | -0.048*** | -0.044*** | -0.048*** | |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Unemployed | 0.021 | 0.021 | 0.006 | 0.003 | 0.008 | 0.006 | 0.001 |
(0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.017) | |
Student | -0.008 | -0.007 | -0.010 | -0.008 | -0.026 | -0.007 | -0.009 |
(0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | |
Retired | -0.008 | -0.008 | -0.015 | -0.019* | -0.009 | -0.008 | -0.008 |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
Caregiver | 0.035* | 0.035* | 0.030 | 0.025 | 0.030 | 0.027 | 0.024 |
(0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.016) | (0.017) | |
Other | 0.041** | 0.042** | 0.007 | -0.021 | 0.043** | 0.044** | 0.042** |
(0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | (0.015) | |
Not Married | 0.003 | 0.003 | -0.001 | -0.001 | -0.001 | 0.002 | 0.002 |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.006) | |
Moved | 0.041*** | 0.041*** | 0.039*** | 0.038*** | 0.042*** | 0.038*** | 0.042*** |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
Indigenous | 0.088*** | - | - | - | - | - | - |
(0.011) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Indigenous on reserve | - | 0.213*** | - | - | - | - | - |
- | (0.034) | - | - | - | - | - | |
Indigenous off reserve | - | 0.075*** | - | - | - | - | - |
- | (0.012) | - | - | - | - | - | |
Disability | - | - | 0.110*** | - | - | - | - |
- | - | (0.006) | - | - | - | - | |
Moderate Disability | - | - | - | 0.088*** | - | - | - |
- | - | - | (0.006) | - | - | - | |
Severe Disability | - | - | - | 0.197*** | - | - | - |
- | - | - | (0.011) | - | - | - | |
Never voted before | - | - | - | - | 0.227*** | - | - |
- | - | - | - | (0.012) | - | - | |
New Canadians | - | - | - | - | - | 0.061 | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.058) | - | |
First-time electors (aged 18–21) | - | - | - | - | - | -0.006 | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.021) | - | |
Abstainer | - | - | - | - | - | 0.311*** | - |
- | - | - | - | - | (0.013) | - | |
NEET | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.048* |
- | - | - | - | - | - | (0.023) | |
Constant | 0.286*** | 0.286*** | 0.237*** | 0.236*** | 0.270*** | 0.269*** | 0.275*** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | |
Observations | 41856 | 41855 | 41852 | 41852 | 41713 | 41713 | 41856 |
R2 | 0.039 | 0.039 | 0.050 | 0.052 | 0.050 | 0.055 | 0.043 |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Note: Reference categories are the following: Age: 45–54; Gender: Male; Racial Minority: White; Other Language: English/French; Foreign Born: Born in Canada; Regions: Ontario; Education: Medium Education; Income: Medium; Employment: Employed; Not Married: Married; Moved: Not Moved; Indigenous: Not Indigenous; Indigenous on reserve, Indigenous off reserve: Others; Disability: No Disability; Moderate Disability, Severe Disability: No Disability; Never voted before: Everyone Else; New Canadians, First-time electors (aged 18–21), Abstainer: Everyone Else; NEET: Everyone Else.