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Trust in Elections Canada in the 44th GE Preliminary Public Opinion Research ResultsCEO Appearance on the 44th General Election before the Standing Committee on Procedure and House Affairs

PACE Research, December 2021

This research fact sheet presents preliminary results from the 2021 National Elector Study (NES) (39,568 respondents in the post-election survey) as well as the Survey of Candidates (1075 respondents) for selected measures related to general trust in Elections Canada and the conduct of the 44th general election.

Considerations

  • Results are weighted so that the characteristics of respondents correspond to their respective populations.
  • All 2021 data are currently being reviewed and may be revised before publication.
  • Percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding or omission of prefer not to answer responses.
  • Results from 2019 are included as a point of comparison; however, no statistical testing has been conducted and any observable differences in results may not be statistically significant.
  • The final survey reports will provide a narrative account of the results including any interactions with other variables that may help contextualize the results. Reports are expected to be available for internal dissemination in early March 2022.
Table 1: Selected measures from the National Electors Study
Electors 2021 2019
Start of GE (W1a, n=8,371) Post-GE (W2, n=39,568) Post-GE (W3, n=21,435)
Overall, how much confidence do you have in Elections Canada?
A fair amount or a great deal of confidence 86% 91% 92%
Not much or no confidence 13% 7% 6%
Don't know 2% 2% 3%
How strongly do you agree or disagree that Elections Canada is the most trusted source of information about the electoral process?
Somewhat or strongly agree 89% 93% 91%
Somewhat or strongly disagree 8% 4% 5%
Don't know 3% 3% 4%
How fairly would you say Elections Canada ran the election?
Somewhat or very fairly -- 87% 90%
Somewhat or very unfairly -- 7% 5%
Don't know -- 6% 6%
What level of trust do you have in the accuracy of the election results in your riding?
Somewhat or very high trust -- 91% 89%
Somewhat or very low trust -- 7% 6%
Don't know -- 2% 4%
Table 2: Selected measures from the Survey of Candidates
Candidates 2021 Post-GE (n=1,075) 2019 Post-GE (n=1,172)
How fairly would you say Elections Canada ran the election?
Somewhat or very fairly 76% 81%
Somewhat or very unfairly 20% 13%
Don't know 4% 6%
What level of trust do you have in the accuracy of the election results in your riding?
Somewhat or very high trust 83% 86%
Somewhat or very low trust 13% 10%
Don't know 3% 4%