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Youth Electoral Engagement in Canada

Appendix

Table A1: Individual-level determinants of voting by young Canadians ( 18-30 )
  OR S.E. P>z OR S.E. P>z
Aged 25-30 1.37 0.16 0.01 1.22 0.17 0.15
Post-secondary 1.52 0.18 0.00 1.12 0.15 0.41
Income 1.27 0.08 0.00 1.26 0.10 0.00
Woman 0.83 0.09 0.08 1.12 0.14 0.37
Rural 0.74 0.10 0.03 0.86 0.13 0.31
Student 1.24 0.19 0.14 1.20 0.21 0.30
Married 1.06 0.12 0.63 1.14 0.15 0.34
Religion 1.06 0.13 0.61 0.94 0.13 0.66
Canadian-born 1.61 0.29 0.01 1.91 0.39 0.00
Interest in politics       1.88 0.17 0.00
Information       1.89 0.17 0.00
Watched Debate       1.29 0.22 0.14
1997 0.88 0.20 0.58 1.10 0.27 0.71
2000  0.77 0.16 0.20 1.11 0.25 0.65
2004  0.60 0.12 0.01 0.82 0.20 0.41
2006  0.64 0.13 0.03 0.75 0.17 0.21
N 1538     1330    
Likelihood Ratio 63.71     227.27    
Pseudo-R2  0.03     0.12    

Data are drawn from the 1997, 2000, 2004, 2006, and 2008 Canadian Election Studies. The dependent variable is voted (1) or did not vote (0) in the election. The model is a logistic regression. Variables 1997, 2000, 2004, and 2006 are dummy variables indicating the probability of voting in each of those elections compared to the 2008 election.

Table A2: Probability of Voting in a Federal Election by Age, Cohort, and Election
  Coef. S.E. z P>z
Age 0.04 0.01 8.61 0.00
Age-squared -0.00 0.00 -8.79 0.00
1965 Cohort -0.06 0.08 -0.71 0.48
1968 Cohort -0.01 0.07 -0.14 0.89
1972 Cohort -0.39 0.06 -6.86 0.00
1974 Cohort -0.42 0.08 -5.54 0.00
1979 Cohort -0.68 0.07 -10.11 0.00
1980 Cohort -0.96 0.10 -9.33 0.00
1984 Cohort -0.87 0.09 -11.07 0.00
1988 Cohort -1.13 0.09 -12.73 0.00
1993 Cohort -1.20 0.09 -12.73 0.00
1997 Cohort -1.35 0.11 -12.41 0.00
2000 Cohort -1.51 0.13 -11.72 0.00
2004 Cohort -1.51 0.13 -11.72 0.00
2006 Cohort -0.46 0.29 -1.59 0.11
2008 Cohort -2.02 0.32 -6.25 0.00
1968 Election -0.01 0.06 -0.14 0.89
1974 Election -0.12 0.07 -1.80 0.07
1979 Election 0.26 0.07 3.73 0.00
1980 Election -0.03 0.07 -0.39 0.70
1984 Election 0.37 0.07 6.73 0.00
1988 Election 0.48 0.07 6.73 0.00
1993 Election 0.47 0.07 6.36 0.00
1997 Election 0.24 0.08 3.12 0.00
2000 Election 0.04 0.08 0.47 0.64
2004 Election 0.08 0.08 1.01 0.31
2006 Election 0.18 0.09 2.11 0.04
2008 Election -0.05 0.09 -0.61 0.54
Constant 0.13 0.14 0.92 0.36
N 36522      
Likelihood Ratio 2707.79      
Pseudo-R2  0.06      

Data are drawn from the 1965, 1968, 1972, 1974, 1979, 1984, 1988, 1993, 1997, 2000, 2004, 2006, and 2008 Canadian Election Studies. The dependent variable is voted (1) or did not vote (0) in the election. The model is a logistic regression. The cohort variables indicate the election in which a respondent was first eligible to vote. Accordingly, those coefficients report the probability of voting in any election given membership in a certain cohort. The election variables indicate the probability of any individual voting in a respective election, given their cohort.