Highlighted Results – Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders
The methodology presented above produced the transposed voting results for each political party in each FED under the 2023 representation orders. These detailed results (including the estimated transposed voter turnouts) can be accessed in the Additional Data section of this report. The goal of this section is to summarize the key results of the transposition exercise.
Table 1 below presents the distribution of the number of seats, broken down by province and territory under the 2013 and 2023 representation orders, as well as the corresponding changes to the number of seats. This table shows that, in the 2023 representation orders, there are five additional FEDs (one in Ontario, three in Alberta and one in British Columbia) for a total of 343, compared to 338 in 2013.
Table 1: Change in Number of Seats by Province and Territory
Province/Territory | 2013 Rep. Order | 2023 Rep. Orders | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
Newfoundland and Labrador | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Prince Edward Island | 4 | 4 | 0 |
Nova Scotia | 11 | 11 | 0 |
New Brunswick | 10 | 10 | 0 |
Quebec | 78 | 78 | 0 |
Ontario | 121 | 122 | +1 |
Manitoba | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Saskatchewan | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Alberta | 34 | 37 | +3 |
British Columbia | 42 | 43 | +1 |
Yukon | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Northwest Territories | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Nunavut | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Total | 338 | 343 | +5 |
Table 2 below compares the number of seats won by parties during the 44th general election and the estimated transposed results under the 2023 representation orders. After the transposition of votes, the Liberal Party of Canada is estimated to have a difference of –3 first-place FEDs, the Conservative Party of Canada is estimated to have a difference of +7 first-place FEDs, the Bloc Québécois is estimated to have a difference of +2 first-place FEDs, the New Democratic Party has a difference of –1 first-place FED and there is no difference for the Green Party of Canada.
Table 2: Comparison of the Total Seats Won by Political Parties During the 44th General Election with the Estimated Transposed Results Under the 2023 Representation Orders
Seats | Liberal Party of Canada | Conservative Party of Canada | Bloc Québécois | New Democratic Party | Green Party of Canada | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats won during the 44th general election | 160 | 119 | 32 | 25 | 2 | 338 |
Estimated number of seats under the 2023 representation orders | 157 | 126 | 34 | 24 | 2 | 343 |
Difference | −3 | +7 | +2 | −1 | 0 | +5 |